FoulWeather's Simple (and cheap) DCF Spreadsheet Tutorial

Part 2: Growth is Good

Starting to Grow

We now have the basic company cash flow and share information we need, so let's get to work on the estimated growth section.

In cell D8, enter the following: Year

In cell D9, enter the following: 1

In cells D10 through D13, enter the numbers 2, 3, 4, and 5 respectively. We will provide specific growth estimates for these years.

In cell D14, enter the following: Terminal:

Terminal corresponds to the terminal growth rate, better stated as the estimated growth rate for years 6 through the end of time. Your spreadsheet should now look something like Figure 4.

Figure 4
Figure 4: Growth year labels (click for full image)

Growth Rate

Now it is time to enter the estimated growth rates for each year.

In cell E8, enter the following column header: Rate

For cells E9 through E14, we want to enter the growth as a percentage for each of those years. Note that if we enter the number followed by a percent sign (%), the spreadsheet will change that cell to use the Percent format, which is what we want.

Using a combination of analyst expectations and our Magic 8 Ball, we predict that WITW should have the following growth in the next 5 years:

Year

Rate

1

7%

2

3%

3

9%

4

10%

5

11%

Insert the appropriate numbers into the spreadsheet. For the Terminal Rate, we assume that the company will have at least 3% growth years 6 and beyond.

In cell E14, enter the following: 3%

Your spreadsheet should now look like Figure 5.

Figure 5
Figure 5: Growth estimates (click for full image)

With our growth estimates in place, it is time to do a little more calculating.

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